Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.470272 0.544397 0.625631 0.721161 0.830321 0.951059 1.094620
2025-06-15 0.365204 0.470899 0.598688 0.764041 0.971783 1.223543 1.551156
2025-06-22 0.282165 0.393954 0.539198 0.740656 1.011614 1.362046 1.848035
2025-06-29 0.227146 0.338831 0.492851 0.719026 1.040616 1.478996 2.118875
2025-07-06 0.188251 0.297648 0.456599 0.701908 1.067884 1.589849 2.385812
2025-07-13 0.166658 0.277442 0.445987 0.717688 1.140389 1.767366 2.760264
2025-07-20 0.153985 0.268534 0.450165 0.754598 1.246215 2.001173 3.237237
2025-07-27 0.140614 0.256206 0.446756 0.778008 1.331856 2.210230 3.693335
2025-08-03 0.126417 0.240234 0.434967 0.785464 1.391128 2.381361 4.102520
2025-08-10 0.112698 0.223019 0.418634 0.782622 1.431667 2.523920 4.475189
2025-08-17 0.099905 0.205625 0.399664 0.772467 1.457558 2.642731 4.816047
2025-08-24 0.089034 0.190320 0.382490 0.763197 1.483201 2.761875 5.165433
2025-08-31 0.077253 0.171829 0.357599 0.737576 1.477958 2.828992 5.434279
2025-09-07 0.074677 0.171916 0.368730 0.782526 1.609710 3.154586 6.199303
2025-09-14 0.065337 0.156255 0.346465 0.758668 1.606115 3.229498 6.505842
2025-09-21 0.057405 0.142487 0.326311 0.736546 1.603130 3.304230 6.816670
2025-09-28 0.050880 0.130935 0.309375 0.719035 1.607268 3.392187 7.158994
2025-10-05 0.047708 0.126824 0.308169 0.735177 1.682786 3.627060 7.810288
2025-10-12 0.046340 0.126911 0.316376 0.772933 1.807765 3.971481 8.709113
2025-10-19 0.044096 0.124474 0.318440 0.796879 1.904642 4.265205 9.525399
2025-10-26 0.041022 0.119435 0.313730 0.804504 1.965658 4.487993 10.209324
2025-11-02 0.037645 0.113080 0.305034 0.801598 2.002143 4.660554 10.798116
2025-11-09 0.034212 0.106047 0.293794 0.791211 2.020087 4.793728 11.310896